Lucky Table

Expected goals (xG) has become one of the most trusted metrics in modern football analysis. It measures the quality of chances created, factoring in shot location, angle, assist type, and defensive pressure. Over time, goals scored usually align closely with xG - but not always.

That’s where the Luck Table comes in.

This leaderboard highlights teams and players who are outperforming their expected goals by the widest margin. In simple terms, they’re scoring far more than the chances they create suggest they should. Whether it’s elite finishing, goalkeeper errors, deflections, or sheer fortune, the data reveals who’s riding their luck.

For fans, this explains why league tables sometimes feel misleading. A team may be winning regularly while being second-best for long spells. For players, it offers insight into sustainability - because prolonged overperformance is rare.

That doesn’t mean every team at the top is fraudulent. Some players consistently beat xG through exceptional movement or finishing ability. But across a whole squad, numbers usually regress over time.

This leaderboard helps you:

• Spot teams likely to cool off

• Understand why results don’t always match performances

• See how data adds context beyond goals alone

Football isn’t predictable - but the numbers always leave clues.