🍀 Lucky Table
Who tops the Lucky Finishers?
Tap a podium slot, then pick a player below
Tap to place on
How it works
The Luck Table ranks teams and players by the difference between goals scored and expected goals (xG). The bigger the gap, the luckier the outcome.
Expected goals (xG) has become one of the most trusted metrics in modern football analysis. It measures the quality of chances created, factoring in shot location, angle, assist type, and defensive pressure. Over time, goals scored usually align closely with xG - but not always.
That’s where the Luck Table comes in.
This leaderboard highlights teams and players who are outperforming their expected goals by the widest margin. In simple terms, they’re scoring far more than the chances they create suggest they should. Whether it’s elite finishing, goalkeeper errors, deflections, or sheer fortune, the data reveals who’s riding their luck.
For fans, this explains why league tables sometimes feel misleading. A team may be winning regularly while being second-best for long spells. For players, it offers insight into sustainability - because prolonged overperformance is rare.
That doesn’t mean every team at the top is fraudulent. Some players consistently beat xG through exceptional movement or finishing ability. But across a whole squad, numbers usually regress over time.
This leaderboard helps you:
Spot teams likely to cool off
Understand why results don’t always match performances
See how data adds context beyond goals alone
Football isn’t predictable - but the numbers always leave clues.
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